Comments on: Tim Hortons Roll Up The Rim 2006 - Statistical analysis http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/ Blog, Photos and Articles Wed, 07 Jan 2009 10:54:19 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.5 By: John http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/#comment-11280 John Wed, 08 Nov 2006 10:03:11 +0000 http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/#comment-11280 It is the simplest case of binomial distribution where the trials follow bernaulli trial. It is the simplest case of binomial distribution where the trials follow bernaulli trial.

]]> By: Jon http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/#comment-876 Jon Mon, 06 Mar 2006 20:48:03 +0000 http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/#comment-876 Thanks for commenting! Depends on how you're calculating the return on the TSX, of course. =) I'd take the money over my coffees any day... In regards to your experiment... You've probably heard a study before, where a group of researchers took a few darts and threw it at a newspaper - wherever it landed was the stocks the researchers were going to buy. They then compared the ending portfolios of their random one against professionally maintained portfolios. The result was that the random one was, on average, performed better than the professionally maintained ones! The take-away? Invest in dart-making companies. =) Thanks for commenting!

Depends on how you’re calculating the return on the TSX, of course. =) I’d take the money over my coffees any day…

In regards to your experiment… You’ve probably heard a study before, where a group of researchers took a few darts and threw it at a newspaper - wherever it landed was the stocks the researchers were going to buy. They then compared the ending portfolios of their random one against professionally maintained portfolios. The result was that the random one was, on average, performed better than the professionally maintained ones!

The take-away? Invest in dart-making companies. =)

]]> By: Alex http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/#comment-875 Alex Mon, 06 Mar 2006 20:32:28 +0000 http://www.linisus.com/blog/2006/03/03/tim-hortons-2006-statistical-analysis/#comment-875 Sweet! I'm doing something similar this year, but not quite so, umm... mathematical. More pragmatic. Buy coffee. Buy Super-7. Pretend to buy random stocks on the TSX. Watch which one does better.... Sweet! I’m doing something similar this year, but not quite so, umm… mathematical. More pragmatic. Buy coffee. Buy Super-7. Pretend to buy random stocks on the TSX. Watch which one does better….

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